The Mission Of The Silver News Surfer Has Always Been & Will Always Be – To Preserve Your Wealth, Protect Your Purchasing Power and Create Generational Wealth!
For those of you that have positions in gold and silver (physical or otherwise) and feel its been like watching paint dry over the past few years, I’d like to encourage you to stay firm on convictions; because as I see it we have limited downside from here and a great upside potential going forward.
That doesn’t mean we will go straight up, silver can be a volatile be-itch, we all know that; but we invest in silver for the opportunity that it presents in a world flooded with currency and wreck-less G’vmt policies.
As noted so many times in the past… 90% of the move in silver comes in the last 10% of the time and I believe that time is finally on our side – Unfortunately though, for silver and gold to really get started moving up, that means more devastation in the world and perhaps… more wars!
Each time we have had war and/or terrorism either in the US or abroad, what happened to the price of gold and silver? It went up right? So if that’s the case and that is the known outcome, then wouldn’t you want to have some gold and silver on hand before it happens or would you rather chase the price? At the end of the day, you either see value or you don’t.
Pentagon orders aircraft carrier to Gulf to add Iraq military option – The order will provide the Commander-in-Chief additional flexibility should military options be required to protect American lives, citizens and interests in Iraq.
President Barack Obama said on Friday he needed several days to determine how the United States would help Iraq deal with the stunning advance of Islamist militants, who earlier this week seized several major Iraqi cities and appeared to have set their sights on the capital.
As we drift into the summer, I wanted to remind you of the seasonal influences of gold & silver – There will be more in the days and weeks to come, but I thought this would wet the whistle…
Silver % Gains Over the Last 13 Years. July thru December
Year Low High % Gain
2001 4.10 4.87 19%
2002 4.31 4.93 15%
2003 4.80 6.74 41%
2004 6.42 8.16 28%
2005 6.63 9.93 50%
2006 10.43 13.62 32%
2007 11.07 17.00 55%
2008 14.00 11.00 -21% – 2008 crisis
2009 13.49 19.44 44%
2010 18.00 32.00 78%
2011 35.00 28.00 -20% – start of super correction
2012 26.00 35.00 40%
2013 19.00 20.50 2.5% – as high as 24.50 in season
2014 18.75 ????
Out of the 13 years studied here, silver went negative only two times in season, the 2008 crisis and in 2011 which was the beginning of the super correction.
Then, out of the same 13 years, silver increased 40% or more 5 times – out of the 13 years silver increased less than 40% 7 times – out of the 13 years, silver increased more than 20% 8 times and finally, only 3 years out of the 13 silver increased under 10%
The seasonality influences for gold and silver is the best opportunity of the year… Similar to retailers and farmers, silver and gold also have seasons that influence the price to the upside… But the biggest thing to remember is to buy the last 2 weeks of June and the first 2 weeks of July.
Why do I bring this up now? You’ll find out when yo get to the breaking news that matters for today…
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On to the breaking news that matters…
Is Silver Set Up For A Huge Short Squeeze? – Historically, a high open interest in silver is associated with short term market tops because the hedge funds have gotten negligently long silver futures and the market manipulating big banks have taken the other side with extreme-sized short positions.
This time around the situation is the exact the opposite. The hedge funds are now historically short silver futures and the banks and silver producers (mining companies who hedge production using futures) are either net long silver or are sitting with historically low hedge positions.
Is Silver Bottoming Out? – The signs are good. With record short positions in gold and silver, hedge funds and algorithmic traders should be worried at the lack of price confirmation.
Gold is holding well above its bear-market lows and silver is refusing to weaken into new low ground. The first chart is of the Managed Money short positions in gold futures on Comex, and the second is of silver futures.
Using The Silver to Gold Ratio as a Timing Indicator – Since 2008 the RSI of the ratio has made 7 important lows below 30 that were also matched with a decent bottom in the silver price. There was also a quickly reversed bottom in the RSI in May of 2013 but silver prices were still falling and showed no sign of a bottom until early July of the same year.
Also read Silver to Gold ration, 27 years of data
The United States Has Now Completely Lost Control In Iraq – I think the American government has really been downplaying the situation. There has been very little coverage of this disaster in Iraq in the mainstream media. Regardless, this is a very, very serious event.
We’ve had gold and silver basing for a long, long time. They have really been looking for a catalyst to break out. Is this going to be a start of a run now? Quite possibly, yes. The powers that be knocked gold down when Draghi made his announcement about QE and negative interest rates, but gold has already rebounded up to the pre-announcement level and it’s going to head a lot higher.
Today a 42-year market veteran warned King World News that the U.S. dollar is headed for a catastrophic collapse. – There are currently so many factors that will cause the dollar’s fall: First of all, FATCA, the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, and other U.S. regulations means that every single transaction in dollars will be controlled by the U.S. authorities, even if the transaction itself has nothing to do with the United States.
Also, we have seen many bilateral agreements between Russia, China, India, and many other countries, that will no longer be transacted in dollars. 90 percent of Gazprom’s clients have stopped transacting in dollars. And in April wealthy Russians took out $13 billion or 61 percent of their dollar holdings.
So the consequence in the next few years will be that the dollar, which is only backed by massive debts, will continue the decline to its intrinsic value of zero. And the dollar decline will also lead to exchange controls, bail-ins, more forced savings in (U.S.) Treasuries, and probably confiscation of bank accounts.
Silver Pockets Full In August!
This is the only time you will see this phenomenon in your lifetime – Some never see it at all…
August, 2014, will have 5 Fridays, 5 Saturdays and 5 Sundays. This happens only once every 823 years. The Chinese call it ‘Silver pockets full. ” So: send this message to your friends and in four days money will surprise you. – Based on Chinese Feng Shui. – Whoever does not transmit the message … MAY find themselves poor. So I obeyed … (you never know). Thanks Tim!